Research Article

Forecasting Tennis Match Results Using the Bradley-Terry Model

Table 9

Measures of predictive performance for bookmakers’ best odds.

Bookmakers’ best odds
All surfacesHard courtClay court

Classification accuracy 62.46%61.78%62.38%
Average probability 0.5750.56940.5826
Average log probability -0.627-0.636-0.624
Return on investment 26.44%24.96%25.74%