Research Article
Forecasting Tennis Match Results Using the Bradley-Terry Model
Table 9
Measures of predictive performance for bookmakers’ best odds.
| | Bookmakers’ best odds | | All surfaces | Hard court | Clay court |
| Classification accuracy | 62.46% | 61.78% | 62.38% | Average probability | 0.575 | 0.5694 | 0.5826 | Average log probability | -0.627 | -0.636 | -0.624 | Return on investment | 26.44% | 24.96% | 25.74% |
|
|