Research Article
Effective Utilization of Data for Predicting COVID-19 Dynamics: An Exploration through Machine Learning Models
Table 10
RAE values of decision tree models for fatal cases.
| Forecast period (days) | Cumulative cases | Daily cases | Germany | Japan | South Korea | Ukraine | Germany | Japan | South Korea | Ukraine |
| Train 3 | 0.013429 | 0.016858 | 0.012715 | 0.025721 | 0.365092 | 0.533253 | 0.33507 | 0.346589 | Test 3 | 1.671756 | 2.410864 | 2.669118 | 2.151188 | 0.35545 | 1.076923 | 2.9 | 0.401786 | Train 7 | 0.024607 | 0.031779 | 0.025012 | 0.054875 | 0.386407 | 0.500952 | 0.315743 | 0.36852 | Test 7 | 2.15945 | 1.811386 | 1.740921 | 2.056796 | 0.451888 | 0.579075 | 1.226496 | 0.707071 | Train 14 | 0.047976 | 0.060438 | 0.047401 | 0.100102 | 0.556737 | 0.604513 | 0.433459 | 0.459151 | Test 14 | 2.539474 | 1.736119 | 1.734947 | 1.948638 | 0.416003 | 0.591684 | 1.268421 | 0.582336 | Train 21 | 0.071128 | 0.08851 | 0.069676 | 0.143488 | 0.591582 | 0.697237 | 0.590335 | 0.564496 | Test 21 | 2.585315 | 1.707506 | 1.658565 | 1.822661 | 0.39501 | 0.577598 | 1.08697 | 0.652772 | Train 30 | 0.1068 | 0.13015 | 0.100888 | 0.20558 | 0.944503 | 0.871579 | 0.740768 | 0.687041 | Test 30 | 2.928104 | 1.708068 | 1.631034 | 1.726235 | 0.34411 | 0.681869 | 0.912318 | 0.795688 |
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