Research Article
Effective Utilization of Data for Predicting COVID-19 Dynamics: An Exploration through Machine Learning Models
Table 12
MAPE values of decision tree models for fatal cases.
| Forecast period (days) | Cumulative cases | Daily cases | Germany | Japan | South Korea | Ukraine | Germany | Japan | South Korea | Ukraine |
| Train 3 | 0.002234 | 0.005224 | 0.011059 | 0.008466 | 1.051796 | 5.287666 | 1.912357 | 0.398852 | Test 3 | 0.000997 | 0.005873 | 0.001607 | 0.002224 | 0.354808 | 0.1715 | 0.478632 | 0.106842 | Train 7 | 0.004101 | 0.009886 | 0.021461 | 0.01804 | 1.051796 | 5.526710 | 5.737070 | 0.419804 | Test 7 | 0.002166 | 0.015232 | 0.004348 | 0.00512 | 0.259721 | 0.138082 | 0.418675 | 0.150069 | Train 14 | 0.007975 | 0.018619 | 0.039748 | 0.032437 | 1.051796 | 6.683686 | 2.868535 | 0.582338 | Test 14 | 0.003567 | 0.034589 | 0.01004 | 0.0103 | 0.236864 | 0.158846 | 0.456952 | 0.145728 | Train 21 | 0.011804 | 0.027272 | 0.056557 | 0.046043 | 1.338650 | 6.989663 | 9.561783 | 0.783502 | Test 21 | 0.004658 | 0.054933 | 0.016894 | 0.016401 | 0.293422 | 3.838783 | 0.383957 | 0.173759 | Train 30 | 0.01766 | 0.039383 | 0.079718 | 0.065041 | 1.061358 | 7.850224 | 3.824713 | 0.698311 | Test 30 | 0.005699 | 0.085935 | 0.028394 | 0.026349 | 0.581109 | 2.600466 | 0.321396 | 0.221548 |
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