Research Article
Effective Utilization of Data for Predicting COVID-19 Dynamics: An Exploration through Machine Learning Models
Table 15
RAE values of support vector regression models for confirmed cases.
| Forecast period (days) | Cumulative cases | Daily cases | Germany | Japan | South Korea | Ukraine | Germany | Japan | South Korea | Ukraine |
| Train 3 | 0.020578 | 0.014347 | 0.051229 | 0.010876 | 0.385339 | 0.269954 | 0.227337 | 0.249052 | Test 3 | 0.533316 | 0.583329 | 0.404621 | 0.978625 | 0.274556 | 1.645081 | 0.369008 | 0.739826 | Train 7 | 0.030785 | 0.026163 | 0.090661 | 0.020051 | 0.416373 | 0.35686 | 0.279196 | 0.32321 | Test 7 | 0.167765 | 0.172721 | 0.090169 | 0.767667 | 0.246486 | 0.804955 | 1.062733 | 0.62577 | Train 14 | 0.051604 | 0.04946 | 0.129533 | 0.047632 | 0.519036 | 0.492612 | 0.354557 | 0.523824 | Test 14 | 0.178381 | 0.511014 | 0.175353 | 0.96603 | 0.230273 | 0.943323 | 1.281093 | 0.856766 | Train 21 | 0.077373 | 0.077997 | 0.159507 | 0.0766 | 0.567586 | 0.416908 | 0.472549 | 0.529954 | Test 21 | 0.12184 | 1.072314 | 0.387529 | 1.162875 | 0.236375 | 0.814444 | 1.18144 | 0.962439 | Train 30 | 0.10922 | 0.100634 | 0.204023 | 0.152735 | 0.646846 | 0.494876 | 0.61158 | 0.578599 | Test 30 | 0.129235 | 1.732956 | 0.841585 | 1.561756 | 0.331465 | 0.903673 | 1.068853 | 1.032478 |
|
|