Research Article
Effective Utilization of Data for Predicting COVID-19 Dynamics: An Exploration through Machine Learning Models
Table 9
RAE values of decision tree models for confirmed cases.
| Forecast period (days) | Cumulative cases | Daily cases | Germany | Japan | South Korea | Ukraine | Germany | Japan | South Korea | Ukraine |
| Train 3 | 0.013721 | 0.017121 | 0.012359 | 0.025513 | 0.249812 | 0.237307 | 0.22947 | 0.337549 | Test 3 | 1.64074 | 3.008135 | 2.036247 | 2.242518 | 0.453807 | 1.99414 | 1.026396 | 1.397268 | Train 7 | 0.024372 | 0.033182 | 0.023655 | 0.055279 | 0.252583 | 0.333357 | 0.250018 | 0.339791 | Test 7 | 2.011061 | 2.101346 | 1.996374 | 1.767298 | 0.722817 | 0.856205 | 1.541001 | 1.202903 | Train 14 | 0.047708 | 0.059617 | 0.044003 | 0.09951 | 0.326598 | 0.432997 | 0.432744 | 0.403959 | Test 14 | 2.342152 | 2.110279 | 1.933691 | 1.848344 | 0.76622 | 1.046646 | 1.806664 | 1.176185 | Train 21 | 0.070645 | 0.082996 | 0.063977 | 0.14188 | 0.3988 | 0.49228 | 0.614732 | 0.451253 | Test 21 | 2.285203 | 2.112131 | 1.904707 | 1.813019 | 0.88611 | 1.043608 | 1.623965 | 1.232625 | Train 30 | 0.106036 | 0.116719 | 0.093445 | 0.200639 | 0.408735 | 0.577086 | 0.789252 | 0.685385 | Test 30 | 2.353681 | 2.07895 | 1.93567 | 1.908543 | 1.025704 | 1.073062 | 1.60721 | 1.124144 |
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