Variability Modeling of Rainfall, Deforestation, and Incidence of American Tegumentary Leishmaniasis in Orán, Argentina, 1985–2007

Figure 4

Classes of monthly relative (sqrt) incidence of American Tegumentary Leishmaniasis cases in Department of Orán, Salta, Argentina, period 1985–2007. The months April, August, and December have special features, since they are associated with maximum averages of incidence that may occur in one year, arising from the application of the concept of congruence: each month is congruent to the multiples of 16 modulo 12 respectively, where 16 was obtained from the analysis of the PACF function of the time series under study.