Research Article

Development and Validation of a Novel Nomogram to Predict the Risk of Intervertebral Disc Degeneration

Table 2

Univariate logistic regression analysis of the training set.

VariablesIVDD ()Non-IVDD () value

Age (year)
 ≤3020 (21.74)51 (40.80)-3.548<0.001
 >30 and ≤6037 (40.22)45 (36.00)2.1470.032
 >6035 (38.04)29 (23.20)3.0860.002
Sex
 Male49 (53.26)66 (52.80)-1.5790.114
 Female43 (46.74)59 (47.20)-0.0670.946
Smoking
 No44 (47.83)61 (48.80)-1.9310.054
 Yes48 (52.17)64 (51.20)0.4420.659
Drinking
 No52 (56.52)60 (48.00)-1.2650.206
 Yes40 (43.48)65 (52.00)-0.6300.529
BMI
 <18.517 (18.48)19 (15.20)-0.3330.739
 ≥18.5 and <2423 (25.00)40 (32.00)-1.0420.297
 ≥24 and <2833 (35.87)42 (33.60)-0.3190.749
 ≥2819 (20.65)24 (19.20)-0.2700.787
Hypertension
 No48 (52.17)100 (80.00)-4.18<0.001
 Mild9 (9.78)15 (12.00)0.4890.625
 Moderate12 (13.04)6 (4.80)2.6930.007
 Severe23 (25.00)4 (3.20)4.360<0.001
Diabetes
 No55 (59.78)107 (85.60)-4.011<0.001
 Yes37 (40.22)18 (14.40)4.177<0.001
Gout
 No71 (77.17)101 (80.80)-2.2760.023
 Yes21 (22.83)24 (19.20)0.6500.515
Marital status
 No47 (51.09)64 (51.20)-1.6070.108
 Yes45 (48.91)61 (48.80)0.0160.987
Working posture
 Immobilized75 (81.52)63 (50.40)1.0200.308
 Mobilized17 (18.48)62 (49.60)-4.549<0.001
Exercising hours/week
 ≤0.542 (45.65)13 (10.40)3.695<0.001
 >0.5 and ≤1.536 (39.13)22 (17.60)-1.6310.103
 >1.5 and ≤39 (9.78)40 (32.00)-5.475<0.001
 >35 (5.43)50 (40.00)-6.137<0.001
Education level
 High school31 (33.7)51 (40.80)-2.1860.029
 Bachelor degree46 (50.00)53 (42.40)1.1710.242
 Graduate degree15 (16.30)21 (16.80)0.3960.692
Modic changes
 No67 (72.83)86 (68.80)-1.5320.126
 Yes25 (27.17)39 (31.20)-0.6420.521
Osteophytes
 No64 (69.57)88 (70.40)-1.9380.053
 Yes28 (30.43)37 (29.60)0.1330.895
Ca2+
 Normal64 (69.57)89 (71.20)-2.0120.044
 Low14 (15.22)22 (17.60)-0.3220.747
 High14 (15.22)14 (11.20)0.8000.424
Hb
 Normal73 (79.35)98 (78.40)-1.9050.057
 Low14 (15.22)19 (15.20)-0.0280.977
 High5 (5.43)8 (6.40)-0.2970.766
Lumbar puncture
 No75 (81.52)91 (72.80)-1.2400.215
 Yes17 (18.48)34 (27.20)-1.4900.136